We’re all set for Super Bowl LVIII as the reigning champion Kansas City Chiefs take on the San Francisco 49ers in Las Vegas on Sunday 11th February.
Following the top-ranked Niners’ exhilarating comeback win against the Lions and the Chiefs’ more straightforward victory in Baltimore, the odds for the Super Bowl MVP have been updated.
So, let’s take a look at the Super Bowl MVP odds, and discuss the best bets and some of those worth considering from both the Chiefs and Niners in an event that is often called the greatest show on earth.
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Patrick Mahomes @ 2.10
Year after year, Mahomes positions his team not just as contenders, but as the most formidable challenge for any NFL team – so there’s no huge surprise he’s favourite to be named Super Bowl MVP once more.
In the past month, the Chiefs have elevated their game to unparalleled heights, largely due to Mahomes, the driving force behind their impressive streak.
As the current league MVP and Super Bowl MVP, he thrives under pressure, consistently delivering game-changing moments that add to his already impressive career highlights.
Such impactful moments hold significant weight with voters, and in the era of passing, Mahomes leads in making monumental plays.
Mahomes has amassed remarkable stats in high-stakes games and during their victory over the Niners in Super Bowl 54, he amassed 315 yards and three touchdowns.
Facing the formidable Eagles defence last year, he threw for three touchdowns and accumulated 226 yards.
Throughout his incredible career, he’s averaged 282.5 yards per postseason game, securing 44 touchdowns and only seven interceptions.
Christian McCaffrey @ 5.00
While it’s common for the victorious quarterback to receive the MVP award, Purdy’s performance during the playoffs has been unimpressive, and it’s hard to imagine the 49ers’ offence without CMC leading the charge and creating opportunities.
The Chiefs’ defence has shown remarkable prowess, particularly with Chris Jones and the pass rush consistently disrupting quarterbacks, and L’Jarius Sneed excelling in pass coverage.
In the AFC Championship Game, Kansas City forced Lamar Jackson to rely on his passing, which led to a less-than-stellar performance from the expected league MVP.
Given Purdy’s uncertain decisions in his two postseason appearances, it’s unlikely he’ll be the pivotal factor in a 49ers’ victory over the Chiefs.
Should the 49ers emerge victorious, McCaffrey is likely to be the key player. His contributions in terms of scrimmage yards and total touchdowns since Thanksgiving have been substantial.
While we could delve into his entire 2023 performance, showcasing multiple games with several touchdowns and over a hundred all-purpose yards, the main takeaway is clear.
The 49ers’ success hinges on McCaffrey’s performance, a sentiment Purdy would likely echo, recognising McCaffrey’s contribution to the team, both in the regular season and playoffs.
Travis Kelce @ 21.00
Travis Kelce has been in the spotlight recently and has delivered exceptional performances in the postseason.
The renowned tight end secured 11 catches for 116 yards and a touchdown in the AFC Championship Game.
Across three playoff games this season, Kelce has accumulated 23 receptions for 262 yards and three touchdowns.
Another standout performance could position him as a contender for the MVP, with his recent surge in popularity, partly fuelled by his association with Taylor Swift, potentially influencing voters.
However, surpassing Mahomes is a formidable challenge, as any touchdown by Kelce would also credit Mahomes, unless it comes from an unexpected play or turnover that is.
Others to Consider
Super Bowl MVP is a quarterback-dominated award with the signal caller having claimed the title 32 times out of 57, so it’s no surprise to see Brock Purdy (3.25) second behind Mahomes in the odds.
Purdy is seen as more of a game manager than his opposite number and alongside McCaffrey, Deebo Samuel and George Kittle, is one of the stars of the 49ers offence who could take the ultimate prize with a San Francisco win.
Isiah Pacheco (34.00) might also capture attention, particularly with the 49ers’ recent run defence issues and his vital role in the Chiefs’ strategy positions him as a dark horse.
For an unconventional wager, consider Sam Darnold’s potential to step in and lead a Niners’ comeback, echoing the unexpected rises of backup quarterbacks like Nick Foles and Tom Brady in past championships.
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