It’s all or nothing in this week’s Euro 2024 qualifiers. Those nations that failed to book their place through the traditional qualifiers will have one last chance to secure a spot in Germany through the play-offs.
We’ve previewed the first round of play-offs this Thursday, picking out the best betting tips from the latest Euro 2024 qualifying odds.
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Wales to beat Finland – 1.75
Wales are still adjusting to life without talisman Gareth Bale. After finishing third in Group D – one which many expected them to qualify from – the Dragons find themselves with a tricky qualifying tie against Finland.
Despite faltering in the qualifiers, they are amidst a decent patch of form. They are unbeaten in six, winning three and drawing three.
They have also won two of their previous three games on home soil, including an impressive 2-1 win against Croatia and a 1-1 draw with first-place finishers Turkey.
Finland have won three of their previous four away games. However, you have to take into account the quality of opposition.
Northern Ireland, Kazakhstan and San Marino were all beaten by just a single goal. The latter will be the most worrying for Finnish fans, with San Marino regularly on the end of a thumping from average sides.
Ukraine to beat Bosnia and Herzegovina – 1.89
These are strong odds for what is actually a decent Ukraine side. They have lost just once in their last nine, a run that includes draws against England, Italy, and Germany.
They narrowly missed out on automatic qualification, surrendering second place to Italy on goal difference. However, in what was one of the toughest groups, they held their own.
In contrast, Bosnia have lost three on the spin and seven of their last nine outings. That three-match run includes a 5-0 drubbing against Portugal, a 4-1 defeat against Luxembourg, and a 2-1 home loss to Slovakia.
Expect a close game but there is a clear quality discrepancy.
Israel vs Iceland: Under 2.5 goals – 1.72
This is a difficult game to pick a winner in so we’ve opted for the goals market.
Israel’s games are rarely high-scoring affairs. Five of the last six have seen under 2.5 goals, while there haven’t been three or more goals in an Israel game since 2022.
When you also factor in that Iceland are poor on the road, this could well be a tight contest.
They have won back-to-back away games…against Guatemala and Honduras. Prior to that, they lost three in a row against Luxembourg, Slovakia and Portugal.
Greece vs Kazakhstan: Both teams to score – 2.55
Kazakhstan look good value for money in this tie. We don’t think they’ll win but they should put up more of a fight than the odds suggest.
They have scored in 16 of their last 19 matches, including finding the net against Slovenia, Slovakia, and Finland, and putting three past Denmark in a historic five-goal thriller.
Greece might have kept three clean sheets in their last eight games but two of these came against New Zealand and Gibraltar.
Another Euro 2024 qualifier where the goals market looks tempting.
*Odds subject to change.
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