UFC Mexico City rolls into the Arena CDMX on Saturday night with a flyweight clash that has serious world title implications, as Alexandre Pantoja looks for new contenders at 125lb.
Brandon Moreno makes his return to Mexico as a two-time world champion, looking to launch one last effort at getting the belt back. He squares off with Steve Erceg, the fan-favourite Australian who has fallen on hard times since getting his surprise shot at the belt in May of last year.
Erceg was undefeated in the UFC before Pantoja beat him last summer, but he has now lost two on the bounce. Meanwhile, Moreno is back in the win column and wants to continue that form in the UFC Mexico City main event.
Unlike other Fight Night events, and even pay-per-views, this card is actually not particularly top heavy and has much better fights on the undercard. Look at some of the names involved; Kelvin Gastelum’s return against Joe Pyfer, Raul Rosas Jr against Vince Morales and the guaranteed banger between Manuel Torres and Drew Dober.
After a slightly lacklustre showcase in London last Saturday, and a general lack of major shows lately, the UFC will be keen to impress in front of a massive Mexican crowd. They seem to have set it up well with a number of betting mismatches, which could lead to some big finishes.
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Latest UFC Mexico City Odds
*All odds are subject to change
- Brandon Moreno (1.42) vs. Steve Erceg (2.87)
- Manuel Torres (1.77) vs. Drew Dober (2.05)
- Kelvin Gastelum (3.45) vs. Joe Pyfer (1.31)
- Raul Rosas Jr. (1.26) vs. Vince Morales (3.90)
- David Martínez (1.24) vs. Saimon Oliveira (4.10)
- Ronaldo Rodríguez (1.57) vs. Kevin Borjas (2.40)
- Édgar Cháirez (1.36) vs. C.J. Vergara (3.15)
- José Daniel Medina (4.20) vs. Ateba Abega Gautier (1.23)
- Christian Rodriguez (1.65) vs. Melquizael Costa (2.24)
- Loopy Godinez (1.42) vs. Julia Polastri (2.87)
- Rafa García (1.21) vs. Vinc Pichel (4.45)
- Jamall Emmers (1.28) vs. Gabriel Miranda (3.72)
- MarQuel Mederos (1.50) vs. Austin Hubbard (2.60)
UFC Mexico City Betting Preview and Best Bets
There are a number of intriguing markets available for this Saturday’s UFC Fight Night in Mexico City. Unlike other UFC Fight Nights, there are a number of matchups higher on the card that stand out to our tipster, as well as some clear fascinations on the prelims.
Sure, Jose Medina’s record since even reaching Contender Series is not anything special. But who has Ateba Gautier beaten to warrant Medina being priced at a whopping 4.20? Prospects with 0s and 1s on their records from Contender Series getting ‘fraud checked’ has been a big trend lately. Let’s see if there is another.
The opening fight of the night sees TUF finalist Austin Hubbard get his last chance at UFC glory against newcomer MarQuel Mederos. The younger man has a win under the promotional banner against Hubbard’s fellow TUF star Landon Quinones, as well as a knockout on the Contender Series. But Hubbard has been around the block quite a bit, and this is a massive step up in competition. At 2.60, you have got to risk Hubbard.
The fight that stands out most is the main event. Erceg is a rough stylistic matchup for Moreno, and at 2.87 in a two-horse race, we are inclined to back the Aussie this time around to make you a nice payout.
Why not put all our picks together with a nailed on cert like Joe Pyfer beating Kelvin Gastelum (Just 1.31 on its own) for a 41.06 accumulator that could return you £430 from just a tenner bet?
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